101
FXUS62 KJAX 191119
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
719 AM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- High Risk for Rip Currents Today and Friday Northeast Florida Beaches

- Moderate Risk Rip Currents Southeast Georgia Beaches

- Frost Advisory for Inland Southeast Georgia This morning

- Small Craft Advisories Today through Friday morning

- Extreme Drought Conditions Continue across the entire area

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Main Highlights through Tonight:

- Frost Advisory inland SE GA this morning

Early this morning: Skies will become Mostly clear to partly cloudy
towards sunrise as mid level trough kicks off further to the east
and Surface high pressure builds in from the North. This will
continue to support lows in the middle 30s over inland SE GA and
Frost Advisory will remain in place, still chilly with lows in the
upper 30s over inland NE FL and generally 40s along the Atlantic
Coast in the N-NE flow at 10-15G20-25 mph through the overnight
hours.

Rest of Today: Surface high pressure ridge slides further southward
into SE GA and along the I-10 corridor, while a coastal trough over
the Atlantic waters will keep a pinched pressure gradient along the
NE FL coast, which will continue breezy N-NE winds at 15-20G25-30
mph through the afternoon hours with lesser N-NE winds at 10-15G20
mph over inland areas. Partly to mostly sunny skies with just a few
high clouds from time to time, but overall temps will remain
slightly below normal with highs in the upper 60s inland SE GA and
lower 70s inland NE FL, while the breezy onshore flow will keep Max
Temps only in the lower/middle 60s along the Atlantic Coast into the
I-95 corridor. No rainfall is expected today, but a few isolated
showers will be possible over the offshore Atlantic Coastal waters.

Tonight: Skies becoming mostly clear and N-NE winds diminishing will
still lead to another chilly night over inland areas and below
normal temps will continue with lows in the upper 30s inland SE GA,
lower 40s inland NE FL and upper 40s along the Atlantic Coast. Air
mass still remains too dry to support any significant fog, but some
patchy fog will be possible over inland areas around sunrise Friday
morning.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/...

No changes. VFR conditions to prevail this TAF period. N-NE winds
continue at breezy levels for the Atlantic Coastal terminals, with
15G25 knots at SGJ at times.

&&

.MARINE...


High pressure north of the region will wedge down the southeastern
seaboard Today with Small Craft Advisory conditions over the
Southeast Georgia waters through this evening and Northeast Florida
waters into early Friday. Winds and seas are expected to diminish by
late Friday as high pressure center reforms to the west of the
waters before settling over the local waters Friday night into
Saturday. The high will sink south of the waters on Sunday into
Monday with southwest to westerly winds ahead of a cold front moving
into the waters next Tuesday with increasing northeasterly winds and
seas.

Rip Currents: Surge of N-NE winds along the Atlantic Coast will
boost surf/breakers into the 4-6 ft range along the NE FL beaches
today and have posted a High Risk of Rip Currents statement, while
the SE GA beaches will remain at a Moderate Risk with surf/breakers
in the 2-4 ft range. High Risk may linger for NE FL beaches into
Friday with surf/breakers of 3-5 ft, with surf/breakers of 2-3 ft
and Moderate Risk for SE GA beaches.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
- Areas Of Critically Low Min Rh Inland Through Friday

Cool and dry high pressure will remain in place through at least the
end of the week, which will persist low to critically low daytime RH
values through Friday. Dispersions will be good across the region
today, though will drop to the fair to borderline poor range across
interior GA on Friday thanks to high pressure repositioning.
Flow will remain out of the northeast through Friday as well,
becoming more out of the west through this weekend and
eventually southwest by Monday ahead of the next approaching
front. This next front will bring chances for showers and
thunderstorms once again Monday Night and Tuesday, possibly
lingering into Wednesday over portions of northeast FL.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: Significant fog potential is not
expected the next couple of days. Areas of frost are expected
this morning over inland southeast Georgia.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  69  38  75  47 /  10  10   0   0
SSI  64  46  68  52 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  67  43  73  47 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  65  50  69  48 /   0  10   0   0
GNV  71  42  76  45 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  73  42  77  46 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Risk for Rip Currents through late tonight for FLZ124-125-138-
     233-333.
GA...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for GAZ132>136-149-
     151-152-163-250-264-350-364.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EDT this afternoon for AMZ450.
     Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Friday for AMZ452-454.
     Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for AMZ470.
     Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Friday for AMZ472-474.

&&

$$