315
FXUS64 KSHV 121807
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
107 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1203 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

 - Showers and thunderstorms to increase in coverage through the
   afternoon. Some storms may produce strong wind gusts and
   locally heavy rainfall.

 - Periods of showers and storms will be possible through the
   first half of the week. Flooding may become a concern for areas
   along and south of the I-20 corridor.

 - A return to quieter and hotter conditions is expected by mid to
   late next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

A weak frontal boundary to ease south across the ArkLaTex today
and linger areawide through midweek. The combination of the
frontal boundary and an upper-trough extending across Texas into
the ArkLaTex and into the Tennessee Valley will maintain an
unsettled weather pattern across the region. Primarily driven by
diurnal heating and rich low-level moisture, thunderstorms will
continue to develop along the front this afternoon, possibly
producing strong and gusty winds at times.

Synoptic pattern to remain stagnant through at least Wednesday
with the front and upper-trough forecast to linger across the
region. Thus, periods of convection can be expected to develop,
both nocturnally and diurnally, through midweek. Locally heavy
rainfall that could lead to isolated flooding issues could be of
concern mainly within the vicinity of the boundary across I-20 and
southward. With increased cloud-cover and rainfall, temperatures
will be rather mild for July with highs to average in the upper
80s to lower 90s through Wednesday.

Upper-level ridge to build across the region beginning Wednesday
night allowing for a gradual drying trend through late week.
Accordingly, high temperatures are forecast to climb into the mid
90s across most locations by Saturday.

/05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1257 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, lots of convection along I-20 this
afternoon with a weak front to the north sinking southward. Winds
have been light and variable to S/SW5-10KT, but vary more so in
and near heavy down pours. Peak of heating will see coverage peak
and wane later, but nocturnal activity is possible as well in the
vicinty of the front which will become stationary and linger with
much convection for each of the next few afternoons primarily.
Spotty IFR/MVFR cigs and vsby issues mainly 09-15Z. /24/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 130 AM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

Limited spotter activation may be requested this afternoon across
most of the region. Even if activation is not locally requested,
any reports of hazardous weather to the National Weather Service
are appreciated.

/26/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  91  74  87  72 /  60  70  70  40
MLU  93  74  91  73 /  60  70  50  40
DEQ  90  71  90  71 /  60  50  30  10
TXK  92  73  91  73 /  70  70  40  20
ELD  90  71  90  71 /  60  70  40  20
TYR  92  74  89  73 /  60  60  70  40
GGG  92  74  88  72 /  60  60  70  40
LFK  92  74  86  72 /  50  40  90  40

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...24