499
FXUS64 KLZK 022322
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
522 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 142 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

-Warming conditions expected into Tuesday...with some chances for
showers returning to the forecast on Tuesday

-Slight cooler conditions expected by mid-week...but will be
 short- lived as warmer temperatures will return by late this week
 through the weekend

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 142 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

SRLY flow had started returning across the state on Sun...which will
continue through this Mon and into part of Tue...allowing for the
warming trend to continue...and moisture levels to increase. Highs
today will be in the 50s and 60s...though some NERN areas may remain
in the 40s this afternoon. Lows tonight will remain above freezing
for most areas.

A new upper disturbance will move east over the region on Tue...with
the approach of a new cold front. This front will drop SE through
the state by mid/late afternoon on Tue. Along/ahead of this
front...some increased chances for rain will be seen...mainly across
the SERN half/two-thirds of the state. Best POPs will be across SERN
sections Tue afternoon. Widespread heavy rainfall is not expected as
deep moisture return will be limited. QPF estimates look to remain
less than a half inch...with the heavier precip falling across far
SERN sections.

Cooler air will move back into the area briefly for Wed...but SRLY
flow will return by Thu. Warmer conditions will be seen again for
Thu...and upper ridging will develop by the weekend. This will allow
for more persistent above normal temps late this week through the
upcoming weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 515 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Mostly VFR conditions are expected early as some high level clouds
move though the area. Increase in clouds are expected overnight as
the next system will affect the state Tuesday. Light rain chances
are possible and low CIGs are likely. IFR conditions are expected,
however, LIFR conditions will be possible with periods of rain.
Central and southern terminals are most likely to see rain
showers.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     34  52  27  42 /   0  30   0   0
Camden AR         45  60  32  50 /  30  80  10   0
Harrison AR       37  49  26  42 /  10  10   0   0
Hot Springs AR    41  59  30  50 /  30  50   0   0
Little Rock   AR  39  55  30  45 /  20  50   0   0
Monticello AR     45  59  34  46 /  10  80  10   0
Mount Ida AR      42  60  29  50 /  30  50   0   0
Mountain Home AR  34  48  25  42 /   0  10   0   0
Newport AR        34  51  29  41 /  10  40   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     40  57  31  45 /  10  70   0   0
Russellville AR   39  57  29  48 /  10  30   0   0
Searcy AR         33  53  27  44 /  10  50   0   0
Stuttgart AR      37  54  30  42 /  10  70   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...73