608
FXUS64 KLZK 020742
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
142 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 142 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

-Warming conditions expected into Tuesday...with some chances for
showers returning to the forecast on Tuesday

-Slight cooler conditions expected by mid-week...but will be
 short- lived as warmer temperatures will return by late this week
 through the weekend

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 142 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

SRLY flow had started returning across the state on Sun...which will
continue through this Mon and into part of Tue...allowing for the
warming trend to continue...and moisture levels to increase. Highs
today will be in the 50s and 60s...though some NERN areas may remain
in the 40s this afternoon. Lows tonight will remain above freezing
for most areas.

A new upper disturbance will move east over the region on Tue...with
the approach of a new cold front. This front will drop SE through
the state by mid/late afternoon on Tue. Along/ahead of this
front...some increased chances for rain will be seen...mainly across
the SERN half/two-thirds of the state. Best POPs will be across SERN
sections Tue afternoon. Widespread heavy rainfall is not expected as
deep moisture return will be limited. QPF estimates look to remain
less than a half inch...with the heavier precip falling across far
SERN sections.

Cooler air will move back into the area briefly for Wed...but SRLY
flow will return by Thu. Warmer conditions will be seen again for
Thu...and upper ridging will develop by the weekend. This will allow
for more persistent above normal temps late this week through the
upcoming weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1009 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Generally light south to variable winds will be seen overnight
into Mon morning before SRLY/SWRLY flow increases some by midday
Mon. Otherwise...only some mid/high level clouds are
expected...with dominant VFR conditions expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     52  35  53  27 /   0   0  40   0
Camden AR         64  44  59  31 /   0  20  80  10
Harrison AR       56  37  48  25 /   0  10  10   0
Hot Springs AR    57  41  57  30 /   0  20  50   0
Little Rock   AR  53  38  54  30 /   0  10  60   0
Monticello AR     61  44  58  33 /   0   0  90  10
Mount Ida AR      60  43  58  30 /   0  20  50   0
Mountain Home AR  53  33  49  25 /   0   0  10   0
Newport AR        47  33  50  27 /   0   0  50   0
Pine Bluff AR     55  40  55  31 /   0  10  80   0
Russellville AR   58  38  57  29 /   0  10  20   0
Searcy AR         52  33  54  27 /   0  10  50   0
Stuttgart AR      51  38  52  30 /   0   0  70   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...62