720
FXUS64 KSHV 022323
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
523 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1030 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

 - A cold front and upper level low will allow for overnight
   showers with increasing coverage and a few thunderstorms on
   Tuesday, ending overnight.

 - Below average 50s for highs and 30s for lows return in the wake
   of the front for Wednesday and Thursday. Then warmer
   temperatures for Friday and upcoming busy weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1001 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

A cold front approaching from the northwest will move across the
region on Tuesday. Southerly flow ahead of the front will allow
for continued moisture advection with dewpoint values in the upper
40s to lower 50s tonight increasing to the upper 50s to lower 60s
on Tuesday. An upper-trough, in conjunction with the front, to
provide enough instability to generate showers across the region
beginning late tonight into early Tuesday. The combination of
temps climbing into the mid 60s across portions of north Louisiana
and Deep East Texas on Tuesday afternoon along with elevated dew
point values in the lower 60s, will allow for a few isolated
thunderstorms in the afternoon along the front.

Showers to shift southeast across north Louisiana on Tuesday
evening into the overnight hours before finally exiting the region
by daybreak.

Upper-level ridge to rebuild across the ArkLaTex in the wake of
the front with dry conditions prevailing through the remainder of
the forecast period. Temperatures to be generally driven by the
location of the surface high with the coldest overnight low
temperatures near freezing on Thursday night as the high becomes
established over the ArkLaTex. Late in the workweek, however,
expect a gradual warming trend as the surface high shifts south of
the region with weekend temperatures ranging from the upper 60s
to lower 70s and lows in the 40s. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 517 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

For the 03/00Z TAFs, high cloud decks will continue to increase
from the southwest through the coming hours, remaining VFR through
about 03/06Z, followed by widespread lowering to MVFR by 03/12Z
and IFR into the morning hours. Showers and storms will increase
from the northwest after midnight, spreading areawide through the
morning and tapering off through the afternoon. Conditions will
start to improve by the end of this forecast period with the
passage of the front. South winds will continue at 5 to 10 kts
through most of the forecast period, pivoting to westerly and
northerly tomorrow afternoon.

/26/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1030 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Forecast thunderstorms on Tuesday and through the overnight along
and south of I-20 from Texas into Louisiana, are not expected to
become severe. Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
/24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  51  65  38  55 /  30  90  10   0
MLU  45  62  37  52 /   0  90  40   0
DEQ  42  61  30  53 /  40  60   0   0
TXK  50  64  35  54 /  40  80   0   0
ELD  45  60  33  52 /  20  90  10   0
TYR  53  65  38  57 /  30  80   0   0
GGG  51  66  37  58 /  40  90  10   0
LFK  52  66  40  59 /  20  90  20   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...26