470
FXUS64 KLZK 262359
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
659 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1204 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

-An unsettled pattern will continue to be present across the state as
 an upper level omega block will keep mesoscale or features at
 the surface nearly locked in place

-Temperatures over the forecast period are expected to remain near
 average to a few degrees below average over the forecast period
 compared to normals for this time of the year

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1204 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

TUESDAY (TODAY)

In the upper lvls, an omega block becomes established at H500 with
one upper lvl low positioned over the Sierra Nevada region of the
CONUS and the other upper lvl closed low positioned over the
Canadian province of Quebec.

At the sfc, a sfc low pressure center and attendant stationary front
remain draped across the state of Arkansas with plenty of gulf
moisture being advected into the state via light southerly to
southeasterly winds from the sfc all the way up the atmospheric
column to H500.

Expect continued elevated POPs across the CWA and state of Arkansas
and the possibility of rain and isolated thunderstorms in the
forecast.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:

In the upper lvls, the positioning of the omega block feature make
little progress as the feature remains solidified overall over the
CONUS. The one upper lvl closed low meanders slightly northward over
the Pacific Northwest region of the CONUS and the second upper lvl
closed low remains planted over the Canadian province of Quebec.
The upper lvl flow pattern over Arkansas consists of light and
variable winds.

At the sfc, the sfc low pressure center retrogrades back northwest
near the confluence or regions of southeast Kansas, northwestern
Arkansas, northeastern Oklahoma, and southwestern Missouri. Over the
duration of this period an attendant warm front is expected to lift
into southern Missouri and then progress back near the
Arkansas/Missouri border as a stationary front.

Expected a continued trend of unsettled weather as rain and isolated
thunderstorm chances will continue to be present in the forecast
over this period.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY:

In the upper lvls, the omega blocking pattern amplifies extending
from the CONUS well into southern and central Canada. At the sfc, a
stationary front will remain positioned across Arkansas keeping rain
and isolated chances elevated across the CWA and state of Arkansas.

It is important that while each day is not expected to be a deluge
by any means that appreciable opportunities for rain and isolated
thunderstorms will be present over the entire forecast period. A
scattered type of precipitation activity will likely be observed as
some places will observe rain on one day while others may not, but
the chance will exist either way and remain elevated given both the
pattern setup aloft and at the surface.

Latest guidance over this seven day period continues to portray a
picture of rain totals for the period between 1 to 2 inches
statewide. In response, it is understandable that while rain chances
will exist over the period that most days will not amount to a
washout by any means.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 655 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

Any shower or thunderstorm activity that lingers over the next few
hours is not anticipated to impact any terminals. Most areas are
in VFR conditions, with the exception of KBPK, but, especially
for terminals that received rainfall today should expect
deteriorating conditions into the overnight hours with at least
MVFR cigs/vis, and decent probabilities (20-40%) of seeing IFR or
even LIFR, especially for KBPK. Expect gradual cig and vis
improvements going through the morning hours tomorrow, prior to
another round of showers and thunderstorms that seem to favor a
more widespread potential than today that could impact any of the
terminals during the afternoon and evening hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     63  83  66  80 /  30  40  60  80
Camden AR         66  83  66  81 /  10  70  60  60
Harrison AR       61  81  64  77 /  20  60  50  80
Hot Springs AR    66  82  67  79 /  20  70  70  80
Little Rock   AR  65  83  67  80 /  20  70  60  70
Monticello AR     67  84  68  81 /  10  70  60  80
Mount Ida AR      66  81  68  79 /  20  70  70  80
Mountain Home AR  61  82  64  78 /  30  30  40  70
Newport AR        64  85  67  82 /  20  30  60  70
Pine Bluff AR     66  84  68  81 /  10  70  50  70
Russellville AR   65  83  67  80 /  20  60  70  80
Searcy AR         63  84  65  81 /  40  50  60  80
Stuttgart AR      67  84  69  81 /  20  60  60  70

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...74
AVIATION...77