Bixby, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

455
FXUS64 KTSA 201720
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1120 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1118 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

 - Higher grassland fire weather conditions develop this afternoon behind
   a frontal boundary.

 - Mild conditions continue into the weekend with much above
   normal temperatures likely next week. Breezy southerly winds
   are expected at times.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight )
Issued at 1026 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

A cold front is moving into northeast OK, and will move through the
remainder of the forecast area by this evening. Ahead of the cold
front, warm conditions are expected, with highs in the 60s to 70s
(warmest south). Behind the cold front, modestly cooler air will
filter into the area along with drier air and breezy northerly
wind. This will may contribute to limited fire weather concerns
for a few hours this afternoon, but overall the threat does not
appear to be significant.

Overnight tonight, temperatures will have a large variance, with 30s
north of I-40 and 40s to the south. A few locations near the KS
border may fall just slightly below freezing.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Saturday)
Issued at 1026 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

The surface high moves east of the area Sunday with easterly flow
during the day. This should allow temperatures to warm into the 50s
to low 60s. Most guidance shows periods of low cloud cover Sunday
into Monday as PWAT surges to around 1", with plenty of low level
moisture content. Monday will warm at least into the 60s for most
spots, and if low clouds clear more quickly a few spots could touch
70F. Some shallow lift on Tuesday morning may result in a few
showers or drizzle for southeast OK and northwest AR. This will be
the only rain chance in the next week. Any accumulation looks very
minimal.

A multi day warming trend will then commence as strong high
pressure spreads across the area. The overall forecast theme
remains consistent with the atmospheric profile at or near record
warm levels for several days. EPS climatology shows temperature
values for the lower atmosphere above the 99th percentile for
Tuesday through Friday. Several record highs and record high lows
will be in jeopardy, potentially even monthly records. High
temperatures will likely be 70+ for all areas during this stretch,
with some locations possibly hitting 80 F on Christmas. Breezy
southerly winds will result in some limited fire weather potential
each day, though relatively high dew points should help mitigate
this to a degree.

As we move towards next weekend, ensemble guidance is split. Some
want to hold onto very warm conditions for a couple of additional
days. Other guidance brings shallow cool air into at least part
of the forecast area, which would lower temperatures
significantly. For now, took a middle of the road approach, with
temperatures gradually dropping off into next weekend but
remaining above normal.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1118 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

VFR conditions will prevail. Periodic gusty winds likely both
ahead of the front and also once the the front passes this
afternoon. Winds decrease overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   63  35  57  45 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   68  40  58  44 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   70  41  62  47 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   60  30  56  41 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   64  35  58  41 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   61  34  51  39 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   65  38  59  45 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   59  33  55  41 /   0   0   0   0
F10   67  37  60  47 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   69  46  60  48 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....06
AVIATION...07