U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 081954 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0254 PM CDT Wed May 08 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below. ..Thornton.. 05/08/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1240 AM CDT Wed May 08 2024/ ...Synopsis... The elongated upper trough will evolve into a closed low over the Great Basin on Thursday. Farther east, the primary upper trough will move into parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. At the surface, a cold front will push south into the Southern Plains and cooler air will push up against the southern Rockies. Given the cooler air pushing into New Mexico, areas with the driest fuels will not likely see much in the way of fire weather concerns. Some dry and breezy conditions appear possible in parts of Arizona into western New Mexico. Here, enhanced mid-level winds and a modestly stronger surface pressure gradient will drive winds of around 15 mph with locally greater speeds. Fuels in Arizona are still in the process of drying out and winds do not appear strong enough to support more than a locally elevated threat for western New Mexico.
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 082144 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0444 PM CDT Wed May 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z Building surface high pressure will overspread the central/southern Plains through much of the extended, keeping winds light and limiting fire weather concerns where fuels are the driest. Continued upper-level troughing over the western US and weak lee troughing across the High Plains and will maintain areas of dry/breezy conditions across eastern AZ/southwest NM. This may support localized areas of Elevated fire weather concerns D3/Friday and D4/Saturday. Rain chances are forecast to increase D3/Friday across the Four Corners/southern High Plains, which should aid in limiting fire potential in those regions. As the western trough ejects into the Southern Plains D4/Saturday into D5/Sunday, Critical conditions may return to far western Texas/southern New Mexico. Potential for precipitation across this region lowers confidence in including any areas with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 05/08/2024
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