ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM RRA

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
410 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

East-Central Subtropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located about 900 miles northwest of the 
Cabo Verde Islands has been producing a small but persistent area 
of showers and thunderstorms to the east of its center since this 
morning.  However, the low is forecast to move southwestward at 10 
to 15 mph into an area of stronger upper-level winds tonight and 
tomorrow, and additional development is not expected.

No additional Special Tropical Weather Outlooks are scheduled for 
this system unless conditions warrant.  Regularly scheduled 
Tropical Weather Outlooks will resume on May 15, 2024, and Special 
Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as necessary during the 
remainder of the off-season.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg/Brown 
NNNN

000
AXNT20 KNHC 081804
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1805 UTC Wed May 8 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1750 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough passes through the coastal plains of Guinea-
Bissau close to 12N16W, to 06N20W. The ITCZ continues from 06N20W,
to 04N23W 05N30W 03N40W 02N45W. Precipitation: widely scattered
moderate to isolated strong is from 08N southward.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A surface ridge passes through 28N73W in the Atlantic Ocean,
through central Florida, to the upper Texas Gulf coast. A NW-to-
SE oriented inland Mexico surface trough passes through 24N100W,
to the SW Gulf coastal waters, and it curves into southern 
Guatemala. No significant deep convective precipitation is 
apparent in the satellite imagery. Moderate to fresh SE winds span
the entire area. Moderate seas are in the western half of the 
area. Slight seas are in the eastern half of the area. Haze 
continues to restrict the visibilities in parts of the western 
Gulf of Mexico, due to agricultural fires that have been in SE 
Mexico.

Fresh SE winds will prevail across much of the Gulf through Thu 
ahead of a cold front. The cold front will move off the Texas 
coast into the northwest Gulf Thu night and will move across most 
of the basin through Fri. The front will then slow down and weaken
further as extends from South Florida to Veracruz, Mexico, by 
late Sat. Meanwhile, fresh to locally strong winds will pulse 
nightly through late week off the northern and western Yucatan 
Peninsula. Haze due to agricultural fires in southeastern Mexico 
persists in the western Gulf. Patchy fog is possible along the NW 
Gulf coast tonight. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

An upper level trough is generating cyclonic wind flow between 50W
and 80W. This area includes the Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean
Sea. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong remains in
the area of the upper level cyclonic wind flow. The forecast is
form the trough to weaken gradually, and to move to the northeast
of the area through Thursday night. Abundant deep layer tropical 
moisture has been remaining in the eastern Caribbean Sea. The
moisture and the ample instability should result in more 
convective precipitation, some locally heavy, in the eastern
sections of the Caribbean Sea, through at least early Thursday. 
Please, read advisories, bulletins, and forecast watches and
warnings, from your local weather bureau offices.

Moderate seas are nearly everywhere from 80W eastward. Some
exceptions are for slight seas in the NE quadrant of the Caribbean
Sea, and off the coast of Venezuela along 70W. Slight seas are
from 80W westward. Mostly moderate to some fresh easterly winds
span the entire Caribbean Sea. 

The 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended 
at 08/1200 UTC, are: 1.72 in San Juan in Puerto Rico; 0.13 in
Guadeloupe; and 0.01 in Freeport in the Bahamas. This information
is from the Pan American Temperature and Precipitation 
Tables/MIATPTPAN.

High pressure centered just SE of Bermuda will support moderate 
to fresh trade winds over the south-central and SE Caribbean into 
the weekend. Meanwhile, expect pulses of fresh to locally strong E
winds at night across the Gulf of Honduras tonight through Fri 
night due to the pressure gradient between the high pressure and 
lower pressure over the western Gulf. Gentle to moderate winds and
moderate seas will persist elsewhere.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Rough seas are from 24N northward between 35W and 50W. Moderate to
rough seas are from 24N northward between 50W and 60W. Moderate
seas are in the remainder of the Atlantic Ocean. Moderate to fresh
E to NE winds are from 25N southward from Florida eastward, on the
southern side of the large-scale anticyclonic wind flow.

A 1020 mb high pressure center is near 30N49W. Broad surface
anticyclonic wind flow is from 30W westward.

A surface trough is along 31N25W 20N35W. Precipitation: widely
scattered moderate to locally strong is from 20N northward from
40W eastward. An upper level trough is generating cyclonic wind
flow between 50W and 80W. Broken to overcast multilayered clouds,
and widely scattered moderate to isolated strong, are from 13N to
26N between 40W and 65W.

High pressure centered SE of Bermuda is supporting moderate to 
fresh E winds S of 23N today. These winds will diminish tonight as
the high pressure shifts E. As a cold front approaches the US 
East Coast, fresh to strong winds will develop off northeast 
Florida tonight through Fri night. The front will move across 
Florida late Fri night into Sat. 

$$
mt/ar

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Thu Nov 30 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. 

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2023 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season.  Routine issuance of 
the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2024.  During 
the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as 
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NNNN

000
AXPZ20 KNHC 081548
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Wed May 8 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N74W to 10.5N94W to 12N108W to
low pres 1011 mb near 10.5N114W. The ITCZ extends from 10N115W 
to beyond 06N140W. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong 
convection is noted N of 05N E of 86W and extends into the SW
Caribbean, and from 03.5N to 08.5N between 117W and 127W. 
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 03N 
to 13N between 87W and 103W, and from 02N to 05N between 127W and
136W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

High pressure centered NW of the area extends a broad ridge 
southeastward over the offshore waters of Baja California and to
near the Revillagigedo Islands. Low pressure of 1009 mb is nearly
stationary just offshore of southern California, and extends a
trough northward along the entire coast of California. The 
pressure gradient between the high pressure and this area of low
pressure is supporting strong to gale-force N to N-NW winds
across the near and offshore waters of California, becoming fresh
across the far outer waters of Baja California Norte, to the NW
of Guadalupe Island. Elsewhere across the Baja waters, moderate
NW to N winds prevail, except locally fresh surrounding the 
coast at Cabo San Lucas. The winds offshore of California
continue to generate NW swell moving into the region. Seas 
across most of the Baja waters are 6 to 7 ft, except 7 to 10 ft 
N of Punta Eugenia. Inside the Gulf of California, winds are 
gentle to locally moderate from the SW N of 27N, where areas of
westerly gaps winds have developed overnight. Winds are from the
NW S of 27N. Seas along the Gulf are 2 to 4 ft, highest at the 
entrance of the Gulf. Elsewhere across the S and SW Mexican 
offshore waters, winds are gentle to moderate from the W to NW,
and become onshore across the Gulf of Tehuantepec, while seas 
remain 5 to 6 ft in SW swell.

For the forecast, the high pressure well NW of the local area 
will shift NE throughout the week. This will lead to the 
continuation of moderate NW winds across the Baja Peninsula 
waters through today, with small areas of locally fresh winds 
developing near the coasts during the afternoon and evening, 
becoming gentle to moderate winds Thu through Fri. Fresh NW winds
will persist across the Baja Norte waters NW of Guadalupe Island
today. NW swell will continue to move into the Baja offshore 
waters through the week, with seas in excess of 8 ft persisting 
across the waters north through west of Punta Eugenia through Thu
evening. Gentle to locally moderate winds and moderate seas are 
expected elsewhere across the S and SW Mexican offshore waters 
through Sun night.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms prevail across 
the near and offshore waters between the Colombian coast and NW
Costa Rica, and extend into the SW Caribbean. This active 
weather is occurring about the monsoonal circulation becoming
seasonally  established across the region, and is producing 
frequent, strong gusty winds, and moderate to rough seas. Over 
the remainder Central America offshore waters N of 09N, winds 
remain light and variable and seas moderate to 5 ft in S swell. 
Between the coast of Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands, winds are
mainly moderate from the S to SW with 5 to 6 ft seas in S swell.

For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh S to SW winds are 
expected S of the monsoon trough, roughly along 07N, through 
Thu, which will feed into the scattered to numerous showers and 
thunderstorms currently E of 90W. This active weather will shift
slowly westward through Thu. Light to gentle variable winds will
prevail elsewhere along with moderate seas in S swell. 
Otherwise, new southerly swell entering the region today will 
maintain seas of 6 to 7 ft S of the Galapagos Islands through 
Sun.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

1032 mb high pressure is centered well offshore of northern 
California and extends a ridge south and southeastward across 
the subtropical waters, to near the Revillagigedo Islands.
Moderate to fresh NW to N winds are north of 28N between 120W and
125W, while gentle to moderate N-NE winds prevail elsewhere N of
20N between 115W and 125W, then become NE to E-NE to the west of
130W. Seas across this area N of 20N are 6-9 ft in NW swell,
except to 10 ft along 30N and E of 125W. S of 20N, between the 
ridge and the ITCZ and W of 122W, moderate to locally fresh NE-E 
winds and 6-8 ft seas in NE swell prevail. South of the ITCZ, 
gentle to moderate SE to E winds are noted with 6 to 8 ft seas in
mixed SE and SW swell. Elsewhere, light to gentle variable winds
and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh trade winds over the western
part of the tropical waters will gradually diminish to moderate 
speeds through Sun, as high pressure N of the area drifts 
northeastward. Seas of 6 to 7 ft are expected across the area of
trade winds through Sun. NW swell across the Baja California 
Norte waters will build through mid week to produce seas of 8 ft 
and greater, mainly N of 25W and E of 130W today through Thu 
afternoon. The seas there will subside below 8 ft late Thu 
night, and to 6 ft or less on Sat.

$$
Stripling

No Storms to Report